School was supposed to start here August 6 or thereabout. My daughter has check-in day still set for then. She's in Catholic school and the plan now is for in-person instruction. They are cutting the day from 6 periods to four and are limiting movement and interaction at lunch. Not sure what they will do with assemblies and Masses--I know one school was talking about live-streaming them. Still August 6 is two weeks away, and who knows what the stats will look like then. The public schools have already pushed the start of school back a week and they are offering a choice of virtual learning or in-person. Basically the virtual group is signing up for 100% home instruction for at least nine weeks. The in-person groups will get a combination of in-home and at-school, with the ratio depending on the infection numbers. I suspect if the numbers don't calm down before August 6, my daughter's school will go virtual. I just don't think that liability-wise they can do anything else.
So, what do the numbers look like? I have three sets of stats below. One is the first set I ran, sometime in May. The second is the overall number since the beginning.
The third is the numbers since July 12, which is 8 days ago. During that time, 16,770 cases have been diagnosed, and 154 have died. That's an average of 2096 per day diagnosed and 19.25 per day who have died.
If we look at the whole pandemic, they have been counting for 139 days, and the total number of diagnosed cases is 94,892 so overall the average diagnosed cases per day is 682. Total deaths are 3462, or an average of 24.9 per day.
Children make up 25% of the population but in my original numbers, only 1.3% of those who have tested positive. They made up less than 1% of the dead. Of those 18 and under who tested positive, 0.2% died.
The comparable numbers today: Children make up 7.9% of those who have tested positive. They make up 0.11% of the dead. Of those diagnosed, 0.05% have died.
Last 8 days: 2396 children tested positive. That's 14.2% those diagnosed. One child has died, which is 0.64% of those who died.
In my original numbers, people age 20-29 made up 14% of the population but only 11.6% of those who tested positive. Only 0.3% of the dead were in their 20's. Of those who tested positive, 0.2% died.
Today: 22.1% of those who have tested positive are in their 20's. 0.34% of the dead are in their 20's and of those who tested positive, 0.06% have died.
Last 8 days: 3939 positive tests, which is 23.48% of those who tested positive for twenty-somethings. There was one death which is 0.64% of the dead.
In my original numbers, 13.3% of the population was in their 30's, but they comprised 15.8% of those who have tested positive. Only 1.8% of the dead were in their 30's. Of those who tested positive, 0.7% died.
Today: 16.43% of positive cases were people in their 30's. 1.81% of the dead are in their 30's. Of those who tested positive, 0.39% have died.
In the last eight days, 16.44% of those who tested positive are in their 30's. 2.6% of the dead are.
Originally: Though people in their 40's make up 12.38% of the population, they comprise 17% of those who tested positive and 3.8 % of the dead. Of 40-somethings who tested positive, 1.5% died.
Today: 15.1% of positive cases are people in their 40's. They are 3.61% of the dead. Of those diagnosed, 0.86% have died.
Last eight days: 2380 positive tests. 7 deaths. 14.19% of positive cases are people in their 40's. They are 4.45% of the dead.
Then: Those in their 50's are 13.1% of population but 19% of those who tested positive. They make up 8.6% of the dead and of those who tested positive, 3% died.
Today: Those in their 50's are 14.72% of the diagnosed. They make up 8.83% of the dead, and of the diagnosed, 2.19% have died.
Last 8 days: 2278 new diagnoses. 16 deaths. 13.58% of the diagnosed were in their 50's, and 10.38% of the dead.
Then: While those age 60-69 make up 11.3% of population they make up 16.6 % of those who tested positive and 18.2% of the dead. Of those who tested positive, 7.4% died.
Today: Those in their 60's are 11.57% of the diagnosed. They are 17.64% of the dead, and of those diagnosed, 5.61% have died.
Last 8 days. 1651 cases, 26 deaths. Those in their 60's were 9.8% of the diagnosed, and 16.88% of the dead.
Then: Those aged 70+ are 11% of the population but 25% of those who tested positive. and 68 % of the dead have been elderly and of those in this age group who tested positive, 25% died.
Today: The elderly are 12.06% of those who tested positive and 67.61 % of the dead. Of the elderly who tested positive, 20.45% have died.
In the last eight days: 1408 positive, 94 deaths. The elderly are 8.39% of those diagnosed, and 61.03% of the dead.
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